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Quick answer

In St. Louis, buying breaks even around year 15. Monthly ownership cost $1,674 vs 2BR rent $1,380/mo. If you plan to stay 15+ years, buy. Less, rent.

Rent vs Buy · MO

Rent vs Buy in St. Louis (2026)

Real math using MO's 0.97% property tax rate, $2,400/year average insurance, and a 6.8% 30-year fixed mortgage. Accounts for opportunity cost — what the down payment would earn invested at 7%.

Last updated: April 23, 2026

Verdict at current rates

Buy after year 15

If you stay 15+ years in St. Louis, buying pulls ahead of renting + investing the down payment. Less than 15 years, rent and invest the difference.

Monthly Cost Breakdown

Buying

$1,674/mo

Mortgage P&I

$172,000 loan, 30yr @ 6.8%

$1,121

Property tax

0.97% of assessed (MO avg)

$174

Homeowners insurance

$2,400/yr MO avg

$200

Maintenance

1%/yr of home value

$179

Cash at close: ~$48,375 ($20% down + fees)

Renting

$1,380/mo

2BR rent (median)

St. Louis market rate

$1,380

Renters insurance

~$15/mo typical

$15

Down payment invested

$43,000 growing at 7%/yr

(opportunity cost)

Monthly gap: $294 cheaper than buying. Renter invests that difference.

Year-by-Year Net Position

"Buy wins by" = what you'd clear selling the home minus what the renter has in investments. Positive = buy ahead.

YearHome valueBuyer equity (net)Renter portfolio (net)Buy wins by
Year 5$249,244$-73,079$-10,589$-62,490
Year 10$288,942$-114,561$-73,976$-40,585
Year 15$334,963$-144,771$-145,336+$564
Year 30$521,861$-110,559$-339,059+$228,500

Break-even: year 15.That's when accumulated home equity minus ownership costs finally exceeds the renter's invested portfolio.

Assumptions

Every rent-vs-buy calculator depends on the assumptions. Here are ours — all transparent, none cherry-picked to bias the answer.

Home price$215K (St. Louis median)
2BR rent$1,380/mo (St. Louis median)
Down payment20%
Mortgage rate6.8% 30-yr fixed (current market)
Property tax0.97% (MO effective avg)
Insurance$2,400/yr (MO avg)
Maintenance1%/yr of home value
Home appreciation3%/yr
Rent growth3%/yr
Investment return7%/yr (S&P real, long-term avg)
Buy closing costs2.5% of home value
Sell closing costs6.0% (realtor + transfer)

This is a rule-of-thumb calculator. Real decisions involve your specific tax bracket, any HOA, mortgage points, closing-cost negotiations, and exact loan terms.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it better to rent or buy in St. Louis?

In St. Louis with a 20% down payment on a median $215K home at 6.8% mortgage rate, buying breaks even around year 15. If you plan to stay less than 15 years, renting wins financially. If you'll stay 15+ years, buying pulls ahead.

What's the monthly cost of owning a home in St. Louis?

On a median $215K home with 20% down at 6.8% fixed rate: mortgage P&I $1,121, property tax $174 (0.97% of assessed value), homeowners insurance $200 (MO average $2,400/year), and maintenance $179 (1% of home value/year). Total: $1,674/month.

How much down payment do I need to buy in St. Louis?

20% down on a median St. Louis home ($215K) is $43,000. Plus closing costs of roughly 2.5% ($5,375). Total cash-to-close: about $48,375. FHA loans allow 3.5% down ($7,525) but require mortgage insurance that adds ~$84/month.

What's the 10-year cost of renting vs buying in St. Louis?

Over 10 years in St. Louis: renters pay $189,842 in cumulative rent but have $115,866 invested (assuming 7% return on the $43,000 down payment + monthly savings). Buyers have paid $239,271 in total ownership costs and hold $142,047 in home equity. Net: renting is ahead by $40,585 at year 10.